Preakness win makes Lookin At Lucky first in NTRA Poll

Horseracing Betting Lines

05/17/2010 - New York, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Lookin At Lucky, coming off his win in the Preakness Stakes, sits atop the latest NTRA Three-year-old Poll. The colt's success in the middle jewel of racing's Triple Crown also vaulted him into third-place in the national standings.

The 2009 champion as a two-year-old jumped from fourth in last week's poll into first following a three-quarters length win over First Dude at Pimlico Race Course. Trained by Bob Baffert, Lookin At Lucky received 14 first-place votes and 174 points.

Kentucky Derby champ Super Saver, eighth in the Preakness, dropped one spot to second with three first-place votes and 148 points.

Derby runner-up Ice Box did not run on Saturday and also fell one slot to third with 137 points.

Blind Luck, winner of the Kentucky Oaks, rose one position to fourth with 92 points.

Preakness runner-up First Dude enters the poll in fifth with 78 points.

The retired Eskendereya continued to receive one first-place vote and remains in sixth with 58 points.

Jackson Bend, third in the Preakness, also enters the poll in seventh with 48 points.

Dropping from third to eighth is Paddy O'Prado after finishing sixth in the Preakness. Third in the Kentucky Derby, Paddy O'Prado received 47 points.

Santa Anita Derby winner Sidney's Candy fell one spot to ninth with 40 points and Kentucky Oaks runner-up Evening Jewel received 31 points to also slide one notch to 10th.

In the NTRA National Poll, undefeated mare Zenyatta and Quality Road are still in the top two spots, respectively. Zenyatta has 14 first-place votes and 170 points while Quality Road has four top votes and 155 points.

Lookin At Lucky received 97 points for third followed by Misremembered 70, Blind Luck 68, Rachel Alexandra 60, Super Saver 57, Unrivaled Belle 45, Blame 36 and Rail Trip with 32 points.

Blame used a win in Saturday's $100,000 William Donald Schaefer Stakes at Pimlico to gain entrance into the poll.

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Big Ten Conference odds

Teams that should be in: Michigan State, Indiana
Work left to do: Illinois, Purdue, Michigan, Iowa

Behind the big two, the pecking order might be in a bit of flux. Has Michigan State passed Indiana after handling the Hoosiers in East Lansing? Where is Illinois in that mix? What looked like a four-big league last week could be morphing into five -- and even six is not unthinkable at this point if everything breaks right.

Should be in:

Michigan State [21-8 (8-6), RPI: 20, SOS: 15] The Spartans made it four-for-four on the homestand, a gigantic accomplishment that leaves them in extremely good shape. MSU is only 1-6 on the road and is at Michigan and at Wisconsin to close things out, meaning the date with the Wolverines on Tuesday looms very, very large. Beating Texas early will hold up well, as will the rout of Bradley and the win over BYU, but will 8-8 be enough? It very well could be, as the computer numbers are good, but why chance it?

Indiana [18-9 (8-6), RPI: 24, SOS: 32] Hmm ... good thing the last two are at Northwestern and home to Penn State, because IU might want to get both to feel completely safe after dropping its third in the last four, fading after halftime at Michigan State. Who knew the best nonconference win would be over Southern Illinois, which is a gift that keeps on giving for the Hoosiers. The win over Wisconsin also looks good on the mantel.

Work left to do:

Illinois [21-9 (9-6), RPI: 31, SOS: 25] A good performance at Penn State leaves the Illini in pretty good shape. Can they go to Iowa and take care of business to really look on their way? That's a huge game, as there is a possible cluster of teams that will end at 9-7. Illinois beat Bradley, but has lost to Xavier. A 9-7 mark and a semifinals trip in Chicago could be enough with the computer profile hanging in there, but it would be better not to mess around, clinching at least a tie for third.

Purdue [18-10 (7-7), RPI: 47, SOS: 28] Couldn't get it done at Iowa, but did win at Northwestern to put 9-7 squarely in sight. Where does that leave the Boilermakers, though? Even if they beat Minnesota and Northwestern at home, that won't help the computer numbers. Nonconference wins over Virginia, DePaul and Oklahoma are solid, but not spectacular. The Boilers very well might need an upset in the B10 quarters to have a legit claim.

Michigan [19-10 (7-7), RPI: 55, SOS: 53] Well, Michigan did what it needed to do, winning at Minnesota to take control of its fate. The Wolverines have Michigan State and an already-wrapped-up-the-league Ohio State at home to close, so the chances are there. Win both and we can talk. There is no marquee win yet in the profile, and the Wolverines were splattered in several games against name opponents. A mediocre computer profile fueled by a lack of road wins isn't helping, either.

Iowa [16-12 (8-6), RPI: 80, SOS: 64] For the sake of being complete, we'll add Iowa, this season's Stanford. It's plausible that the Hawkeyes could get to 10-6 (at Penn State, vs. Illinois left), but where does that leave them after a gruesome nonconference performance where the best win was over ... Toledo? Iowa State? Cornell?? If they get to 10-6, we can start to look at what they need to do in the B10 tourney, although my gut sense is that they would need to make the final and have knocked off Ohio State or Wisconsin on the way to have any real claim.

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